Tuesday, January 26 , 2016 - 08:30 UTC
The start of 2016 was the worst since more than 80 years, with global markets having lost more than 8 trillion US Dollars in January. This is due to concerns over China’s slowing down and the continued decline in oil prices. This uncertainty is likely to continue over the next couple of months.  Central Banks Policies  Fed: After raising the Fed Fund rate for the first time in almost a decade, the Fed came in with a strong message and a stronger outlook toward the US economy, which...
Wednesday, December 16 , 2015 - 15:03 UTC
FOMC Decision Timing The long waited Federal Reserve meeting is here, where the entire world is waiting for its outcomes today. The decision will be released at 11:00 PM Abu Dhabi time / 07:00 PM GMT+. The Federal Reserve’s Chair Yellen Press Conference will start at 11:30 Abu Dhabi time / 07:30 GMT+. FOMC Decision Estimates  The estimates are highly positive for such a meeting. The market is looking for a 25bps rate hike. The upper bound is expected to more from 0.25% to 0.5%...
Thursday, December 03 , 2015 - 09:59 UTC
The European economic releases recently came in much better than expected, including the Manufacturing PMI’s and the labour market data, which the market thinks has reduce the probability of further QE by the ECB today Manufacturing PMI’s Italian Manufacturing PMI advanced to the highest level since July of this year, which is the second highest reading on record in Italy. The record high stands at 55.3. In France, the Manufacturing PMI remains at 50.6 for the third month in a...
Friday, November 06 , 2015 - 11:59 UTC
The global markets are bracing for the US Jobs Report, which will be released later today at 17:30 AD time, 13:30 GMT+. The market sees the jobs report as a key to the Federal Reserve decision in December, where the estimates for a rate hike are rising to above 60% chance, especially after the hawkish FOMC statement in October. However, the estimates are mixed and uncertain, as there are many positive as well as negative indicators. Therefore, today’s report is expected to be a very close call...
Thursday, November 05 , 2015 - 10:57 UTC
Thursday, October 22 , 2015 - 11:18 UTC
Today it is all about the ECB decision. Our economic tracker for Germany and the Euro Zone suggests a dovish tone by the ECB. However, the core inflation in Germany and the Euro Zone has stabilized for the past two months, which reduces the chances of an increase in the QE program. Mario Draghi has also made it clear that he expects further declines in inflation, before it rises at the end of the year. If this is the position they take we may see the euro rally above 1.14 again. If the ECB does...
Friday, October 02 , 2015 - 11:17 UTC
Today’s report is a very close call as it will increase or decrease the possibility of a rate hike in October or December. However, the concentration will be on the wages growth again. Looking at the available employment component for the month of September, there are many positive and negative outcomes. This is why today’s report is considered as a very close call.  Arguments for a better Jobs Report Jobless Claims eased back to the lowest level in two monthsContinuing Claims slides...
Friday, September 04 , 2015 - 09:56 UTC
Ahead of today’s US Jobs Report, the latest employment components in many sectors present mixed but mostly weak outcomes. As always, we have included a wider range of employment components in our report, but the outlook remains weaker. 33% of employment components suggest that there will be a better jobs report while 67% suggest that we will be facing a weaker one. Despite that, the main focus remains on wage growth. It is the key factor in determining the timing of the first Fed fund rate hike...
Friday, August 07 , 2015 - 11:25 UTC
Ahead of today’s US Jobs Report, the latest employment components in many sectors present mixed but mostly weak outcomes. As always, we have included a wider range of employment components in our report, but the outlook remains mixed. 35% of employment components suggest that there will be a better jobs report while 65% suggest that we will be facing a weaker one. Despite that, the main focus remains on wage growth. It is the key factor in determining the timing of the first Fed fund rate hike...
Wednesday, June 17 , 2015 - 16:26 UTC
All eyes today are on the Federal Reserve decision. The decision will be announced at 10:00 PM Abu Dhabi time / 06:00 PM GMT, including the FOMC Statement, The Federal Fund Rate and the FOMC Economic Projections. The Press Conference will be held at 10:30 PM Abu Dhabi time / 06:30 GMT+. The estimates across the globe are mixed, some economists are estimating the Fed to raise the rates in this meeting, while some are looking for a liftoff in September. Here we look at the US economic...

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